PREDICTION OF FLOOD RISK IN AN URBAN ENVIRONMENT: CONTRIBUTION OF MACHINE LEARNING MODELS

Nov 16, 2023, 10:30 AM
15m
The main hall (The Museum of Water Civilization in Morocco)

The main hall

The Museum of Water Civilization in Morocco

Poster Water Posters session

Speaker

MOHAMED EL HAOU (Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni Mellal, Morocco)

Description

Due to intense precipitation, rapid snowmelt and rising sea and lake waters, river levels and groundwater, urban areas can be flooded. These flood risks are associated with several factors of a topographical, geological, hydrological, climatic and anthropic nature. These factors must be taken into account when managing floods and especially when delimiting vulnerable areas. This research aims to assess and compare Frequency Ratio, Weighting Factor, and Weight of Evidence Models for landslide susceptibility mapping using Geographic Information Systems and Remote Sensing data in Beni Mellal City, Morocco. A set of 5000 landslides were identified and mapped by evaluating observations from satellite images (Google Earth images) and fieldwork from 2018 to 2022. The landslide inventory data was arbitrarily divided into two groups for training (70%) and validation (30%). Thirteen landslide conditioning factors were selected for landslide susceptibility modeling, based on multicollinearity analyses and the information gain method. Validation of the results is based on statistical rules for the Spatial Effective Method, Statistical Measures, and Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve (ROC).

Primary authors

Mrs MALIKA OURRIBANE (Sultane Moulay Slimane University, Beni Mellal, Morocco) MOHAMED EL HAOU (Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni Mellal, Morocco) Mr MUSTAPHA NAMOUS (Sultan Moulay Slimane University, Beni Mellal, Morocco)

Presentation materials